Spain’s Next Prime Minister?

This market resolves based on the individual who next officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain, regardless of whether the general election is held on its scheduled date of 29 November 2026 or earlier. To qualify, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers who do not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence do not count. ALBERTO NÚÑEZ FEIJÓO resolves to Yes if Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Spain; otherwise, No. PEDRO SÁNCHEZ resolves to Yes if Pedro Sánchez is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Spain; otherwise, No. ANY OTHER resolves to Yes if any person other than Alberto Núñez Feijóo or Pedro Sánchez is the next individual to officially assume the office of Prime Minister of Spain; otherwise, No. These outcomes are mutually exclusive. Provided a qualifying Prime Minister is formally invested and sworn in, exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes and the others to No. If no qualifying individual takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM UTC, this market resolves to Any Other. Resolution will be based primarily on official information from the Government of Spain, including the official announcement of the investiture and swearing-in. If official information is delayed, ambiguous, unavailable, or inconclusive by the resolution deadline, the market will resolve according to a clear consensus of major reputable Spanish and international media outlets, including El País, El Mundo, ABC, Reuters, AFP, and The Associated Press. Any unresolved data issues or unforeseen circumstances will result in the market being voided and resolved equally across all outcomes.

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?